This STEM Speakers Series talk will focus on Bayes’ Equation: From preventing panic in a doctor’s office to helping you think about scientific issues and your everyday life. Your HIV test comes out as positive. The test is very accurate, one of the most accurate tests out there. Does this mean you have HIV?! Should you get tested for breast and prostate cancer? What should you do when you learn the results of any test?
Come and learn about the realities of medical testing and how the probabilities of life mean that you can, and should, be an active participant in your own and your family’s medical decisions! Come and see for yourself how a simple equation – Bayes’ equation – can help give you a framework for thinking about every-day and scientific issues. We hope that you will come out of this seminar with the confidence that you, too, can apply “numbers thinking” daily, using only a few simple principles – to become a sophisticated thinker and decision-maker.